-- a university of arizona
course on methods and approaches for studying the future
In most of these pages I have tried to give you a balanced perspective or address
material where differences of opinion are not critical. This page gives you
my views on the future. Some of these entries are also linked from other places
on the course site. You can also look at futures
in a nutshell or a futures overview,
or a roadmap for a futures study to see my
perspective on those larger issues.
My views on the current and next "big
era or age or revolution"
- What are we in and
what comes after the agriculture, industrial, an service eras?
My paradigm shift list
- Selecting a few paradigm
shifts to help guide you is useful. Here is my list.
My list of driving forces of change
- Use driving forces
that are built upon paradigm shifts to focus the possible trends.
My list of characteristics of the future
- What characterists
are descriptive of the future regardless of how driving forces of change
Roger's Handy Hints
- Here are 7 hints I
have picked up over the years that I find useful in my own thinking and
problem analysis. Also consider examples of graphic
representations that address some of these hints.
My general approach to a futures study
- An outline format for
my checklist of completing a futures study.
Comprehensive but concise view of strategic planning
and futures approaches
- This diagram covers
strategic planning and futures studies on one page. Individual links lead
to more explanation for the represented building blocks. This is not intended
to be detailed information, but a big picture view. It shows how typical
strategic planning (if well done and comprehensive) is very similar to a
basic futures study.
What I Have Learned
- I have been doing this
long enough and am old enough that I might offer some wisdom about futures
studies. I summarize my own views but also link to those of others that
have looked back on their experiences.
Talking Points for a Presentation
- Need to give a brief
presentation on the future? This is an outline for about a 30 minute talk..
Return to "Anticipating
the Future" course home page
Prepared by Roger L. Caldwell