Tuesday, March 21, 2006

9:00 – 10:00 am Stakeholder Engagement 1

9:20 am Assessment of Probabilistic Forecasts Using Field Surveys of Resource Management Professionals: Preliminary Results

Holly Hartmann, University of Arizona

Niina Haas, University of Arizona

9:40 am The Current Climate in Fire and Land Management

Tim Brown, Desert Research Institute

10:30 – 11:50 am Stakeholder Engagement 2

10:30 am Lessons Learned: Integrating Climate and Forecast Information into Fire Management Planning in the Western United States

Anthony Westerling, Scripps Institution of Oceanography

10:50 am Understanding Group Participation in Climate Forecast Use

Nicole Peterson, Columbia University

11:10 am Understanding How Meanings Get Transformed in the Dissemination of Climate Information - the Case of Northeast Brazil

Renzo Taddei, Columbia University

11:30 am The Role of Scientists in Public Policy Decisions: The Case of Drought Planning

Mark Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey

1:30 – 3:30 pm Climate Products

1:30 pm New Climate Divisions for Monitoring and Predicting Climate in the U.S.

Klaus Wolter, NOAA – ESRL

1:50 pm Daily Station Extremes of Temperature and Precipitation for U.S. Local Climatology Network Stations

Tim Owen, NOAA / National Climatic Data Center

2:10 pm A drought Monitoring and Early Warning System for the United States

Kingtse Mo, Climate Prediction Center / NCEP / NWS

2:30 pm The Climate Information Digest: A Monthly Web-Based Publication of Recent Climate

Michael A. Bell, International Research Institute for Climate and Society

3:10 pm The Westmap Project

Kelly Redmond, Western Regional Climate Center

Wednesday, March 22, 2006

8:30 – 9:50 am Climate-Health/Air Quality 1

8:30 am Air Quality Extreme Events and Projected Trends for the Southwestern United States

Erika Wise, University of Arizona

8:50 am Regional Variability of Ozone in the Northeast United States and Associated Circulation Anomalies and Climate Teleconnections

David Brown, University of New Hampshire

9:10 am Air Quality and the Demand for Health Services in New Hampshire

Aichatou Hassane, University of New Hampshire

10:20 – 12:00pmClimate Science/Services

10:20 am Emergence of a Pacific Climate Information System (PaCIS)

Eileen Shea, East-West Center & NOAA IDEA Center

10:40 am Climate Information, Data Logistics, and the Enhancement of Decision Systems

Chester Ropelewski, Columbia University

11:00 am Developing a National Agroclimate Information Service in Canada

Alan Howard, National Agroclimate Information Service

11:20 AM From Climate Variability to Climate Change: Challenges and Opportunities to Extension

Clyde Fraisse, University of Florida

11:40 AM Home on the Range: Exploring and Assessing Climate Science Needs within Range Management

Mike Crimmins, University of Arizona

3:15 pm – 5:15pmClimate Forecasts & Applications

3:15pm Issues for Use of Climate Models to Inform Policymakers, Assess Impacts, and Develop Adaptive Strategies

Robert Livesey, NOAA

3:35 pm Exploring Changes in the Dependability of Seasonal Climate Forecasts Due to Spatial and Temporal Downscaling

Jeanne Schneider, USDA ARS Grazinglands Research Laboratory

4:15 pm Quantifying Impact of Uncertainty in the Simulated Crop Yield and Climate Forecast on Prescribed Decision Making

Shrikant Jagtap, University of Florida

4:35 pm JMA ENSO Index and Thermal Time Accumulation

John Bellow, COAPS, Florida State University

4:55 pm Seasonal Climate and Crop-specific Outlooks Available on AgClimate.org

David Zierdan, COAPS, Florida State University

Thursday, March 23, 2006

8:30 am – 9:50 am Water Management 1

8:30 am Emerging Water Management Challenges in the Lower Colorado River Basin: Climate, Modeling Assumptions, and Uncertainty

Dustin Garrick, University of Arizona

8:50 am Water Shortage Sharing Agreements: An Application for Climate Prediction

Bonnie Colby, University of Arizona

9:10 am Deciding on Drought Triggers in the FERC Dam Relicensing Process

Greg Carbone, University of South Carolina

9:30 am Assessment of the Utility of Climate Information for Large Front Range Water Providers in Colorado

Andrea Ray, NOAA Earth Systems Research Lab

10:20 am – 12:00 pm Water Management 2

10:20 am Be Careful of What You Wish For… Climate-Responsive Water Management from the Ground Up Goes Big-Time?

John Wiener, University of Colorado

10:40 am Integrated Forecast and Reservoir Management in Northern California – The INFORM Project

Elyon Shamir, Hydrologic Research Center

11:00 am Incorporating climate variability uncertainty in water resources planning for the upper Santa Cruz River.

Elyon Shamir, Hydrologic Research Center

11:20 am An Operational Database For Low Flow Forecasting in the NWS

Doug Kluck, National Weather Service

11:40 am Update on West Wide Hydrologic Forecasting at the University of Washington

Alan Hamlet, University of Washington

3:30 pm – 3:50 pm Long-Range Hydropower Forecasts for the Columbia River, Colorado River, and Sacramento/San Joaquin Systems

Alan Hamlet, University of Washington

4:10 pm – 5:15 pmClimate-Health/Air Quality 2

4:10 pm Climate and Health: Basic Science and Decision Support for Valley Fever

Andrew Comrie, University of Arizona

4:30 pm Climate Information Resources for the Malaria Control Community

Emily Grover-Kopec, International Research Institute for Climate and

Society

4:50 pm Progress in Developing a Climate Based Malaria Early Warning System in Sri Lanka

Lareef Zubair, International Research Institute for Climate and Society

Friday, March 24, 2006

8:30 am – 9:50 amEconomics/Forecast Value

8:30 am Estimating The Value of El Niño Forecasts for Panama Canal Operations

Nicholas Graham, Hydrologic Research Center / Scripps Institute Oceanography

8:50 am Industry Uses and the Economic Value of Air Quality Information and Forecasts: An Exploratory Inquiry

Ross Gittell, University of New Hampshire

9:10 am Snow Days: Using Climate Forecasts to Better Manage Climate Variability in the Ski Industry

Rosalind Bark, University of Arizona

9:30 am Crop Insurance and Climate Information: Synergies and Conflicts of Interest Between Farmer and Insurer

Victor Cabrera, University of Miami

Poster Presentations

ENSO, PNA and NAO Scenarios for Extreme Storminess, Rainfall, and Temperature Variability During the Florida Dry Season: Challenges of Communicating Uncertainty to Decision Makers

Bart Hagemeyer, NOAA / NWS

Demonstrating a Methodology for Incorporating Climate Information in a Lower Colorado River Basin Operations Model

Laura Lindenmayer, University of Arizona

Assessing Sand Dune Mobility Potential for the Coalmine Mesa Chapter area of the Navajo Nation

Casey Thornbrugh, University of Arizona

GENFLOW: A Software System for Science-Based Water Resources Planning for the Upper Santa Cruz River

Eylon Shamir

Western Water Assessment's Climate Affairs Program

Jessica Lowrey, University of Colorado

Drought Triggers Methodology ( Wyoming)

Jan Curtis, NRCS / National Water and Climate Center

Spatial Inhomogeneities in Winter Precipitation Anomalies in the Southwestern

James Tamerius, University of Arizona

Climate Information Delivery and Decision Support System

Holly Hartmann, University of Arizona

Enhancing Climate Services in the National Weather Service

Andrea Bair, National Weather Service

NOAA’s Climate Test Bed; Engaging Applications and User Communities

Mel Gelman, NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Southwest Climate Change Web Portal

Ben Crawford, University of Arizona

Binational Cooperation on a Climate Product for the U.S.-Mexico Border Region

Gregg Garfin, University of Arizona

Applications of Monsoon Research: Opportunities to Inform Decision-Making and Reduce Regional Vulnerability

Andrea J. Ray (1), Gregg M. Garfin (2), Margaret Wilder (3), Marcela Vásquez-León (4), Melanie Lenart (2), and Andrew C. Comrie (5), 1 – NOAA Earth Systems Research Lab, 2-5 – University of Arizona